Moist-Reveal
0xd1519fc9bb6cba5ce215e456f707834ceac185ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.21
Total PnL
$-101.07
Realised
$-1.87
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- KIWOOM DRX CHALLENGERS
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- UNDER 5.5
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- LUCKNOW SUPER GIANTS
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?
4668 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group$1.01Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on July 28?$1.08Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on July 28?$1.00Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.96Jul 28, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.01Jul 27, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?$1.45Jul 27, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?$1.02Jul 26, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.59Jul 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.02Jul 25, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?$0.33Jul 25, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?$1.02Jul 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.03Jul 23, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.99Jul 23, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1.03Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1.00Jul 21, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.99Jul 21, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.00Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?$0.87Jul 20, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?$1.01Jul 19, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.