0xd182164064cdf4a4da5fa6c42b2312ec94df9681
0xd182164064cdf4a4da5fa6c42b2312ec94df9681
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$483.70
Total PnL
$-586.18
Realised
$-81.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
385 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$198.08
$-1.92
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
167 shares @ 59.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$165.10
$65.18
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.00
$-1.00
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.52
$1.52
- YES
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
1995 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-302.79
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?
131 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
76 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
56 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$10.83May 22, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$10.02May 16, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.17May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?$5.62May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMKraken IPO in 2025?$5.62May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOL flip ETH in 2025?$10.99May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$11.24May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$11.24May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $11.63May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$17.24May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$20.43May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?$21.05May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$21.07May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$22.21May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$24.69May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$92.72May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$101.83May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$103.09May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$104.17May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$104.28May 16, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $64.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".