Clear-Drawbridge
0xd18fe68b1b0cdce87c8ccc54c286166068d9a259
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$41.39
Total PnL
$-376.50
Realised
$-7.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$12.40
$-3.80
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$-2.80
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 10.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.29
$-1.71
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.70
$0.10
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.72
$-4.28
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.02
$-0.48
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
300 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-123.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.36Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.70Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 31?$4.09May 31, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 31?$6.21May 31, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 31?$3.95May 31, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$5.77May 31, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?$16.90May 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 31?$38.47May 31, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?$2.60May 31, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?$16.60May 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$16.20May 31, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$10.00May 31, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31?$0.87May 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31?$3.00May 31, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?$32.57May 31, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31?$8.63May 31, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$39.45May 31, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?$6.68May 31, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31?$6.25May 31, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 04:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".