Likely-State
0xd19c519c807f98485c7aa794de25def5ae66e9c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$33.56
Total PnL
$3.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?
27 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.72
$0.45
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.38
$1.38
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?$26.27Oct 17, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Oct 17, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$8.42Oct 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?$1.00Oct 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$1.00Oct 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Oct 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Oct 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.