Informal-Bend
0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$406.6K
Total PnL
$173.8K
Realised
$210.9K
Win rate
60%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
141449 shares @ 91.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$139.5K
$10.3K
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
101750 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$101.8K
$2.2K
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
44703 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$44.7K
$918.28
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
26741 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$26.3K
$891.85
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
47568 shares @ 29.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.5K
$9.5K
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
20527 shares @ 34.9¢·now 89.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.3K
$11.1K
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
17801 shares @ 63.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.8K
$6.6K
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
14648 shares @ 13.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$14.6K
$12.7K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
9447 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$9.4K
$170.06
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21221 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.7K
$-734.81
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.26Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$1.56Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$110.37Jun 12, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$121.13Jun 12, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$8.37Jun 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$233.70Jun 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$9.46Jun 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$95.00Jun 12, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$92.00Jun 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$282.95Jun 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$0.13Jun 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$212.00Jun 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$212.00Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.5KJun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.76Jun 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.00Jun 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$24.00Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.6KJun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$683.53Jun 12, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$27.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 9, 22:40 UTC → Jun 9, 22:34 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27.2K@92¢Jun 9, 22:34 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$27.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$27.2K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
$27.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.