Informal-Bend
0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
63
Open notional
$449.7K
Total PnL
$151.9K
Realised
$193.0K
Win rate
52%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
400000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$324.2K
$124.2K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
400000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$75.8K
$-124.2K
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
17801 shares @ 63.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.8K
$6.6K
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
22648 shares @ 13.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$12.8K
$9.8K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
9447 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$9.4K
$170.06
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
14416 shares @ 39.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.0K
$285.36
- DUKE BLUE DEVILS
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)
2489 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$2.5K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
895 shares @ 34.8¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$706.77
$395.77
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
11390 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$176.54
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
136 shares @ 59.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$125.12
$44.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$27.403h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?$0.427h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?$2.089h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.2K10h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$110.0010h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$6.3110h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.5810h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$550.0011h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$0.1511h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$11.0011h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $707.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.