Ragged-Donor
0xd1c2a078348a94a127f0ef624672e785b65fe8a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$12.81
Total PnL
$-938.41
Realised
$-142.66
Win rate
13%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$12.05
$2.05
- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 42.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.77
$-0.84
- NO
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
772 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
296 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.07
- NO
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
132 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-51.63
- BROWNS
Bills vs. Browns
122 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-9.78
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.96
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- TEAM WE
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner
84 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-30.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 8?$20.78Jan 8, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 8?$5.88Jan 8, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.86Jan 8, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$12.07Jan 8, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?$7.82Jan 8, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$4.05Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?$12.40Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?$4.71Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$2.24Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.12Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?$6.29Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$6.07Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$10.08Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.01Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$43.71Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$0.13Jan 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$13.22Jan 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$9.54Jan 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.34Jan 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.11Jan 8, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $12.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".