0xd1d4580b2d2ac6e8a512df60e358452400020b10
0xd1d4580b2d2ac6e8a512df60e358452400020b10
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$50.64
Total PnL
$3.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
11 shares @ 52.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$6.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?
6 shares @ 49.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$3.50
$0.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
6 shares @ 53.4¢·now 58.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 25?
3 shares @ 94.1¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.95
$1.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
4 shares @ 55.5¢·now 59.8¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$2.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Jun 25, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$3.92Jun 25, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$3.69Jun 25, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$2.08Jun 25, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.08Jun 25, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.03Jun 25, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.02Jun 25, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 25?$3.03Jun 25, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 25?$2.12Jun 25, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?$3.12Jun 25, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.03Jun 25, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.03Jun 25, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$5.10Jun 25, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?$0.00Jun 25, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$2.02Jun 25, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$2.04Jun 25, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$2.05Jun 25, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?$2.01Jun 25, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.07Jun 25, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$3.11Jun 25, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.