Defiant-Try
0xd1d82b5bf0438edb21dbdc050081edb1bc57cf06
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$40.00
Total PnL
$-247.55
Realised
$-8.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$40.00
$20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
1128 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
362 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-92.67
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 40 million views on day 2?
348 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
166 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-17?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- OVER
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC: O/U 4.5
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-18?$10.17May 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIstanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Marat Sharipov$10.14May 18, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00May 18, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC: O/U 4.5$2.06May 18, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.07May 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?$20.30May 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.11May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$2.14May 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$4.28May 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$15.92May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$30.93May 18, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$30.98May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$2.03May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$0.14May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$45.55May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$13.84May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$1.95May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$18.76May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$20.47May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$45.84May 18, 05:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".