Definitive-Antecedent
0xd1e2c4c548fe33f175d874756c5018b4dbdeedda
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$41.88
Total PnL
$-75.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
317 shares @ 32.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.10
$-72.90
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$7.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 8.9¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.63
$-0.97
- YES
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.68
$-0.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$8.19May 4, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$97.89Feb 4, 12:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.06Feb 1, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$44.85Jan 31, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jan 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$9.90Jan 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$17.60Jan 31, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.22Jan 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.25Jan 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.53Jan 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.80Jan 31, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.80Jan 31, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.80Jan 31, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$4.70Jan 31, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$8.93Jan 31, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$20.01Jan 31, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.20Jan 31, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 11:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".