Optimal-Speaking
0xd26af0ec410ce7f2922aeec7d4060168fcc2b1e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 16?
700 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
675 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DEVILS
Blue Jackets vs. Devils
12 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$89.09Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$89.00May 29, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$89.09May 26, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$89.00May 26, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$88.99May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$88.91May 19, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$88.09May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$88.01May 16, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$88.89May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$88.80May 13, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$88.18May 12, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$88.01May 9, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$88.09May 9, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$88.00May 6, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?$1.01May 6, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 29?$1.13May 6, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.21May 6, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.23May 6, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.31May 6, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.32May 6, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $48.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".