Woozy-Half
0xd2d12348ea88e65f371680997978459bdb92bba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$5.70
Total PnL
$-310.08
Realised
$-1.55
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
597 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.98
$-12.44
- NO
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?
87 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.09
$-8.37
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
57 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.62
$-0.91
- NO
Will Trump dance today?
49840 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-53.28
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
21743 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-65.23
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 3?
14090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.09
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
10378 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.74
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?
8600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-32.83
- NO
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?$10.83Jun 12, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.59Jun 11, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.72Jun 11, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.26Jun 11, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.04Jun 11, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Jun 8, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$11.43Jun 8, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$8.04Jun 8, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$9.13Jun 8, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$12.57Jun 8, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$9.61Jun 8, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$28.12Jun 8, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$34.08Jun 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$13.33Jun 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$6.22Jun 8, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.34Jun 8, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.00Jun 8, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.19Jun 8, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.84Jun 8, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03Jun 8, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.