Tame-Tenant
0xd302d2ded251ee53d036152a9c697e5d9136b782
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$165.03
Total PnL
$-16.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$9.87
$0.57
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.57
$-0.05
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.46
$-0.02
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.67
$0.02
- NO
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.64
$-0.01
- NO
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.62
$-0.03
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.79
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.79
$-0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.77
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$7.01
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 13?$5.41Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.45Jul 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.31Jul 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$4.82Jul 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 13?$5.40Jul 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$6.24Jul 12, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.69Jul 12, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.12Jul 12, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.18Jul 12, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 11?$5.41Jul 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.20Jul 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$7.79Jul 11, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.20Jul 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.20Jul 11, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.