Gentle-Banking
0xd324e20e3462d859a2913c5bfd162ed7f9aeb23c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-48.79
Realised
$-16.27
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
1000 shares @ 67.6¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$705.01
$29.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
728 shares @ 61.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$607.87
$163.64
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
1211 shares @ 56.1¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$593.23
$-85.80
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$375.00
$15.00
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$183.00
$17.00
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
200 shares @ 78.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$172.00
$16.00
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 55.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$133.00
$23.00
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 24.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$105.75
$-5.25
- YES
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
200 shares @ 43.5¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.00
$-10.00
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
300 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$58.50
$4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$86.40Jul 3, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$14.10Jul 3, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$41.40Jul 3, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$144.00Jul 2, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$236.26Jul 2, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$41.93Jul 2, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$278.40Jul 2, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$9.36Jul 2, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$216.00Jul 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$65.00Jul 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$144.00Jul 2, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$246.50Jul 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$32.00Jul 1, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$0.47Jul 1, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$182.53Jul 1, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$73.67Jul 1, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$152.10Jul 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$33.00Jul 1, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$62.00Jul 1, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$10.00Jul 1, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $94.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.