Impeccable-Leverage
0xd331f15f7cc06bd8c95fbb99aa71b86d3846f414
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.43
Total PnL
$-7.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.34
$0.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.81
$0.78
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.76
$0.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.74
$0.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.72
$0.01
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.07
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$1.76Jul 17, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?$1.25Jul 13, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.52Jul 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?$1.25Jul 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.52Jul 10, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$1.75Jul 5, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on June 26?$1.41Jul 1, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.26Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?$1.18Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on June 26?$1.41Jun 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?$1.18Jun 28, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?$1.25Jun 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?$1.24Jun 13, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.25Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$2.34Jun 1, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.24May 9, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.74Apr 30, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by April 30?$1.76Apr 29, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.62Apr 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?$1.71Apr 15, 06:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.