0xd3348c9aa32de97b68c8038db5574d5abf23b26b
0xd3348c9aa32de97b68c8038db5574d5abf23b26b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$137.74
Total PnL
$-681.78
Realised
$56.05
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
68 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$68.48
$18.49
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
62 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.93
$2.48
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
7 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$7.33
$1.54
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
887 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-133.16
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
361 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-299.63
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
352 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
156 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-149.76
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
98 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.07
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
81 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-80.35
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$0.81Apr 27, 05:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 27, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Apr 26, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$0.00Apr 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.98Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$54.88Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$65.90Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$63.16Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$69.90Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$60.34Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$86.53Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$114.10Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$75.43Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74.56Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$44.12Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$57.32Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$63.19Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$75.73Apr 26, 08:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $28.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.