Remote-Adaptation
0xd3519867b198b3a5269ef889bd646b422a18162a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.71
Realised
$-18.52
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 9?
27 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.45
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 9?
9 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 9?
7 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?
6 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?
5 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
5 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
2 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
1 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
1 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?$1.06May 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?$0.57May 4, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?$5.20May 4, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 3?$0.02May 3, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 3?$0.04May 3, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 3?$2.08May 3, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 3?$2.09May 3, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?$8.12May 1, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?$2.06Apr 30, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?$2.08Apr 30, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?$5.00Apr 26, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?$3.00Apr 26, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 24?$3.45Apr 24, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 24?$2.00Apr 24, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$2.40Apr 15, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$0.00Apr 15, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$4.00Apr 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$5.00Apr 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.44Apr 12, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.