Dishonest-Blowgun
0xd395997e792ca481789f818ac455d7a441988798
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$67.55
Total PnL
$1.04
Realised
$0.98
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
12 shares @ 33.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$11.85
$7.85
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$8.18
$0.16
- NO
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$5.15
$0.16
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
3 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.92
$0.16
Recent activity
- SPLITStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.58May 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 6, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 6, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 6, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.05May 6, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.05May 6, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.05May 6, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.03May 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$1.00May 6, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.01May 6, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.01May 6, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.01May 6, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 5, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 5, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 5, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 5, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.00May 5, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.00May 5, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.00May 5, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$1.00May 5, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.