Required-Auction
0xd3a395ead97f1010f00bda7cd1c6ffba40a858d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$13.75
Total PnL
$-402.61
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.55
$-0.45
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.21
$-0.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
1015 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
191 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
106 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
91 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.44
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$18.18Apr 10, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?$50.69Mar 1, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$17.86Feb 28, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$19.23Feb 28, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$22.90Feb 28, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$29.80Feb 28, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$31.24Feb 28, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$185.90Feb 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.00Feb 22, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$20.00Feb 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Feb 21, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$20.00Feb 21, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$46.04Feb 21, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$11.73Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$14.74Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$26.16Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$35.61Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$30.00Feb 21, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$20.00Feb 21, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".