Cumbersome-Butler
0xd3ab43d3ff8d1f881606e51c24b4f71cdb989aa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$650.74
Total PnL
$-830.62
Realised
$5.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$212.31
$12.31
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
199 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$193.84
$33.05
- IWO BARANIEWSKI
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
197 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$149.01
$-0.99
- NO
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$52.50
$-12.50
- OVER
O/U 1.5 Rounds
93 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$19.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FC BARCELONA
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
170 shares @ 97.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-165.87
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$8.73Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$65.00Jun 2, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds$25.55Jun 2, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$151.08Jun 2, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?$60.00Jun 2, 21:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.16Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$25.80Jun 1, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$88.00Jun 1, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 1, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$44.00Jun 1, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$212.85Jun 1, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$58.59Jun 1, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$65.99Jun 1, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$71.27Jun 1, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$200.00May 28, 19:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.69May 28, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$50.00May 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$21.50May 27, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$50.00May 27, 23:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".