Dirty-Promise
0xd3c9bdb48c4b9367387df01047bbb9e76c699626
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$40.70
Total PnL
$-47.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Norway come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
25 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.71
$0.01
- NO
Will Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.99
$0.15
- YES
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
15 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?
13 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 13?
12 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 28?
10 shares @ 90.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$24.71May 15, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$19.98May 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$19.78May 9, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 68 and 69 million views on day 4?$20.00May 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 68 and 69 million views on day 4?$19.81May 5, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?$9.99May 4, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$19.00Apr 30, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$18.82Apr 29, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?$9.70Apr 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$14.64Apr 23, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.80Apr 14, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12m and $13m?$15.99Apr 13, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$24.85Apr 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.84Apr 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.42Apr 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$24.30Apr 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.75 and 3 million views in the first week?$14.85Apr 9, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.75 and 3 million views in the first week?$14.70Apr 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12m and $13m?$15.84Apr 5, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?$24.98Apr 1, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $14.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".