Understated-Ptarmigan
0xd3ec2d1e2bbb66a6abf74ffa59c471e074d2d7c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$25.12
Total PnL
$0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?$5.00May 20, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 20, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 20, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.01May 20, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.02May 20, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 8?$5.02May 20, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.03May 20, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?$5.03May 20, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.00May 8, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 8?$5.00May 8, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?$5.00May 8, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00May 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.00May 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.99Apr 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.04Apr 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$5.06Apr 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?$4.95Apr 7, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.00Apr 7, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.