Plush-Observation
0xd3f012f069fcd8fe6bcb9cf11d452e87c40f9dd6
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$104.42
Total PnL
$-73.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
178 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
35 shares @ 57.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$21.05
$1.04
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
29 shares @ 34.2¢·now 35.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- LEGACY
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$9.84
$-0.16
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$8.46
$-1.54
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.43
$-1.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.77
$-1.23
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.11
$-1.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$15.0414h ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$8.7715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$5.111d ago
- TRADEBUYValorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs$5.071d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.171d ago
- REDEEMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.001d ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- REDEEMValorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs$16.752d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.012d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$10.742d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.192d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$5.112d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$10.132d ago
- TRADEBUYValorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs$10.122d ago
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$13.162d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$25.002d ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$20.123d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$5.093d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $7.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
