Exemplary-Shoes
0xd43dd81540543c2450a68a641437244f1ad08a2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-287.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
18978 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$185.15
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
5641 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$-141.58
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1232 shares @ 44.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$523.60
$-21.94
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1007 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$377.61
$-15.17
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1004 shares @ 29.4¢·now 28.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$288.15
$-7.15
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
3375 shares @ 11.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$286.87
$-113.12
- YES
Ebola emergency by June 30?
1047 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.31
$99.48
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
500 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
5245 shares @ 12.3¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.94
$-579.79
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
65000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-229.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola emergency by June 30?$1.20May 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola emergency by June 30?$64.53May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$11.44May 16, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$110.00May 16, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$211.50May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$334.04May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$190.00May 16, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$20.80May 16, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$13.06May 16, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$4.87May 16, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$1.60May 16, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.71May 16, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$1.34May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$1.34May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.05May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$4.94May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.29May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.95May 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$15.74May 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$6.80May 16, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $48.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".