Finished-Wind
0xd44e974a3edb232aa4aedbdcc59792b76a5f67e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$268.1K
Total PnL
$52.1K
Realised
$14.9K
Win rate
86%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30505 shares @ 60.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.5K
$7.2K
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
28014 shares @ 72.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.1K
$3.9K
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
39722 shares @ 57.2¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.0K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
23429 shares @ 92.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.0K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
26966 shares @ 68.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.8K
$4.3K
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
23008 shares @ 63.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.9K
$2.3K
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
16839 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.5K
$628.38
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
22151 shares @ 68.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.1K
$843.70
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
12756 shares @ 53.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.4K
$5.5K
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
9433 shares @ 88.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$188.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$67.50Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$7.50Jun 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$75.00Jun 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$7.2KJun 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$10.01Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.8KJun 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$39.13Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$2.6KJun 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$342.65Jun 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$274.00Jun 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$51.03Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$288.10Jun 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.5KJun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.70Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.70Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$2.5KJun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$16.22Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$33.83Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$533.12Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 13, 08:20 UTC → Jun 13, 08:14 UTC
- SELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.7K@97¢Jun 13, 08:14 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
30d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
$5.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $744.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.