0xd459db3a7f011bc448ee9b01890e9d7b9486ec5b
0xd459db3a7f011bc448ee9b01890e9d7b9486ec5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$23.59
Total PnL
$-11.22
Realised
$0.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?
7 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.84
$0.59
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
16 shares @ 57.6¢·now 22.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.66
$-5.77
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.18
$2.01
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.18
$1.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.16
$0.02
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.16
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.16
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.04
$0.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.14
$-0.12
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
4 shares @ 29.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Benfica advance to the round of 16?$1.17Feb 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica advance to the round of 16?$1.17Feb 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica advance to the round of 16?$1.17Feb 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica advance to the round of 16?$1.17Feb 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica advance to the round of 16?$1.17Feb 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?$0.17Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?$1.00Feb 23, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$0.25Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?$1.04Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?$1.04Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?$1.04Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?$1.04Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.05Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.