Bad-Teepee
0xd4662574a18edea35370b78d352cb83126d817dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$65.06
Total PnL
$3.34
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.22
$-0.78
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
14 shares @ 83.2¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 41.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.47
$1.47
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.25
$5.25
- YES
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
7 shares @ 56.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
7 shares @ 34.6¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.34
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$0.81
- NO
2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Swing Off?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.38
$0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.01Jul 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$1.00Jul 13, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$1.63Jul 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$1.87Jul 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$1.66Jul 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$0.55Jul 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$0.50Jul 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$1.51Jul 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$0.63Jul 12, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 23:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.