Ancient-Safeguard
0xd46662a06963503d6cba6757baac1725f8ba8f57
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
444 shares @ 96.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$423.80
$-3.77
- NO
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
453 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$403.51
$0.23
- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
444 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$352.98
$6.66
- YES
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$251.41
$-14.98
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
69 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$68.35
$2.48
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1277 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 8?
955 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
536 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- 120K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?
351 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?
337 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$118.93Jun 11, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$361.67Jun 5, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.82Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.63Jun 5, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$268.00Jun 5, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.48Jun 5, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$777.59May 31, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.29May 30, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.38May 28, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.09May 28, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$309.54May 28, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$65.96May 28, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$348.61May 28, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$299.07May 25, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?$102.24May 24, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$401.46May 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcus Thuram be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$16.02May 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Thuram be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$16.00May 6, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$288.32May 6, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?$99.09May 6, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $141.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.