Merry-Rain
0xd47ef1982548ec99631ea149494556918a2def51
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$190.76
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14131 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$190.76
$-49.44
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
8833 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2025?
6666 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-816.80
- YES
Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
472 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$247.30Jun 11, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$122.59May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.2KMay 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.7KMay 15, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$644.07May 15, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$644.17May 15, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$717.71May 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$711.61May 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$9.38May 14, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$39.72May 10, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$25.40May 10, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$164.83May 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$97.44May 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.63May 9, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$139.25May 7, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$512.00Apr 27, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$90.00Apr 27, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $286.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.