0xd4a96bf9158a54a834c2bc4cc2b2f3115045d5e4
0xd4a96bf9158a54a834c2bc4cc2b2f3115045d5e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$107.71
Total PnL
$-544.00
Realised
$-20.56
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.26
$1.60
- YES
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
159 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.42
$-5.04
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
13 shares @ 17.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.63
$7.32
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.38
$0.51
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
46 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.9¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$7.28
$1.32
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
8 shares @ 37.6¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$3.13
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
47 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.45
$-3.52
- YES
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
17 shares @ 39.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$-2.72
- NO
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.93
$-2.07
- ODD
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$2.58
$-2.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.16Jun 12, 13:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next?$0.07Apr 30, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?$0.84Apr 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$5.85Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Dimona by April 30?$0.24Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?$0.47Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?$0.05Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Apr 18, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.