Oval-Patriarch
0xd4c3f83c12bb1056df9fcca53588ee5faf22a9a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$29.11
Total PnL
$-268.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
26 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 82.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 15?
115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on October 18?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
41 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 25, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 25, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.01May 25, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.27May 25, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$5.03May 25, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.02May 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$5.00May 11, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$5.03May 11, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.18May 11, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.28May 11, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.99May 11, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$5.00Apr 28, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 26, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$5.00Apr 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.2KMar 16, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".