Uniform-Sow
0xd4cae78e70d7fc280412892e4805624ff06be200
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.55
Total PnL
$-24.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?
219 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump dance today?
960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
307 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
258 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance today?$1.00Apr 28, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 28, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$0.00Apr 28, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$0.00Apr 28, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 23, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.00Apr 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$2.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.