Focused-Society
0xd4e540950df5386c0a13faa5b6ff81b034636d14
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$24.94
Total PnL
$2.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$4.44
$2.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$15.00Apr 20, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$16.47Jan 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$20.00Jan 4, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Dec 6, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?$0.68Nov 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$3.76Nov 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$17.68Nov 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$6.00Nov 7, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$3.07Nov 7, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$7.00Nov 4, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$4.00Nov 3, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?$3.10Oct 25, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?$2.00Oct 24, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?$1.00Oct 24, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?$3.00Oct 24, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.