Crowded-Polyester
0xd4e7e5c056f6bb8cd1214ede47e76391a485b0f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-679.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1162 shares @ 83.4¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$975.39
$6.39
- NO
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$29.90
$1.90
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
1475 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
1318 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-81.69
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
1266 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-70.15
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
1250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
886 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?
857 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
128 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.34Jun 8, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$973.83May 28, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid$850.00May 28, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $114.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.