Optimistic-Cowboy
0xd51dbb6d86a9cc478b460102da71861986a81578
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$725.58
Total PnL
$-204.69
Realised
$57.76
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Germany be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
121 shares @ 94.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$113.50
$-0.71
- NO
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.50
$16.50
- NO
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$65.79
$2.55
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$63.00
$26.00
- NO
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
58 shares @ 77.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$47.72
$3.45
- NO
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
61 shares @ 58.3¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.86
$7.43
- YES
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
101 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$30.68
$-7.55
- NO
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
30 shares @ 78.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$29.80
$6.08
- NO
Will Wesley be in Brazil's Starting 11?
24 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$24.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
29 shares @ 75.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.33
$1.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$98.70Jun 13, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nuno Mendes be in Portugal's Starting 11?$0.55Jun 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$114.40Jun 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$18.39Jun 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.93Jun 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.67Jun 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.62Jun 13, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.82Jun 13, 02:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$10.60Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nuno Mendes be in Portugal's Starting 11?$1.03Jun 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 12, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.40Jun 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12Jun 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.31Jun 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.31Jun 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12Jun 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12Jun 12, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.32Jun 12, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.85Jun 12, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.