Practical-Quota
0xd576bb03811082b995eb15ae49322be14a30b8f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$366.83
Total PnL
$-330.24
Realised
$-33.81
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
470 shares @ 60.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$223.25
$-58.75
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
323 shares @ 55.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$143.58
$-33.88
- NO
Will Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?
670 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.30
- NO
Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?
234 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-44.33
- YES
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
118 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$68.78Jul 28, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$129.45Jul 28, 23:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.41Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$7.40Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$35.68Jul 27, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$251.71Jul 27, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$20.27Jul 27, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.00Jul 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$11.23Jul 27, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$4.77Jul 27, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$389.30Jul 27, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$177.72Jul 27, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$99.21Jul 27, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$28.22Jul 27, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$17.34Jul 27, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$34.00Jul 27, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$15.64Jul 27, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$2.42Jul 27, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$112.68Jul 27, 02:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.55Jul 27, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $69.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.