Dimpled-Cacao
0xd5beaefade3d43c861d9031387c265cd709e0e42
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-177.21
Realised
$-140.19
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1019 shares @ 91.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.0K
$72.24
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
690 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$672.47
$19.70
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
500 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$498.00
$15.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
323 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$320.90
$5.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
312 shares @ 85.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$282.48
$14.92
- NO
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
247 shares @ 80.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$246.31
$46.80
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
250 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$246.25
$0.84
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
239 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$236.17
$2.65
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
247 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$233.25
$1.23
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
250 shares @ 92.3¢·now 92.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$231.00
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$8.33Jun 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$30.64Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.54Jun 14, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$155.85Jun 14, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.70Jun 14, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.71Jun 14, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.56Jun 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.44Jun 14, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.69Jun 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.63Jun 14, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$56.36Jun 14, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.64Jun 14, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$9.60Jun 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?$123.17Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.19Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?$123.15Jun 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?$0.31Jun 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.19Jun 14, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$3.66Jun 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.45Jun 14, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.