Shoddy-Oversight
0xd5c92cf77cc924ef9ab464bdb286da35c300586a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$167.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
1135 shares @ 88.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$111.98
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
600 shares @ 88.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$534.00
$2.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
400 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$395.40
$5.30
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$274.50
$2.50
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
200 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$197.90
$4.10
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$197.70
$3.30
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
100 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.55
$0.75
- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.15
$-0.15
- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.05
$-0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98.35Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98.35Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98.16Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.38Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$96.21Jun 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$91.54Jun 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.76Jun 3, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$176.00Jun 2, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 2, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$100.00Jun 2, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$100.00Jun 2, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$500.00Jun 2, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $104.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".