Another-Photograph-Activist
0xd5d75539d4914aadfafd042c10141e5f45e44952
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$846.87
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3488 shares @ 66.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.5K
$153.77
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
428 shares @ 70.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$383.15
$79.64
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
387 shares @ 61.3¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$378.20
$140.60
- YES
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
427 shares @ 55.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$297.08
$59.02
- NO
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
380 shares @ 63.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.56
$48.56
- YES
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
273 shares @ 86.4¢·now 79.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$218.21
$-17.79
- NO
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
389 shares @ 34.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.44
$-11.15
- NO
Iran leadership change by August 31?
62 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$61.65
$1.65
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$54.30
$4.30
- NO
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$31.85
$1.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$69.05Aug 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$28.18Aug 19, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$28.20Aug 19, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$5.03Aug 19, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1.00Aug 19, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$2.01Aug 19, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$3.00Aug 18, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$1.00Aug 18, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?$10.00Aug 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?$10.00Aug 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?$10.00Aug 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$35.60Aug 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$1.00Aug 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$25.00Aug 18, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by September 30?$25.96Aug 18, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$5.00Aug 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$10.00Aug 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$11.00Aug 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$30.00Aug 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$20.00Aug 18, 23:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $40.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.