Another-Photograph-Activist
0xd5d75539d4914aadfafd042c10141e5f45e44952
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
4891 shares @ 88.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.8K
$516.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
382 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$319.20
$17.20
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2176 shares @ 12.6¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$218.65
$-56.34
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$197.82
$-2.19
- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
247 shares @ 63.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$183.69
$26.69
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
229 shares @ 70.3¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.64
$-5.36
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
190 shares @ 84.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.31
$-10.69
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
165 shares @ 82.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$131.49
$-4.50
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
399 shares @ 32.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$119.78
$-11.47
- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
133 shares @ 80.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$115.07
$8.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$99.00Jun 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$99.10Jun 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$26.00Jun 16, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$125.86Jun 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$50.00Jun 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$49.55Jun 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?$50.00Jun 16, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$50.89Jun 16, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$157.00Jun 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$156.91Jun 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $47.00Jun 16, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $60.00Jun 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$106.74Jun 16, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$107.00Jun 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$106.56Jun 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.00Jun 15, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$100.52Jun 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$70.00Jun 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$70.02Jun 15, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 23, 05:30 UTC → May 23, 05:23 UTC
- SELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$5.3K@98¢May 23, 05:23 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.3K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
$5.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $267.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.