Rich-Try
0xd5e3226b2d399b64063c3659ac93a670cbb6e379
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$39.9K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-510.58
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
2541 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.5K
$27.94
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2500 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.4K
$35.25
- NO
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
2500 shares @ 87.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$117.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
2000 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$25.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
2000 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$61.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
2020 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$11.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$30.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
1656 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.6K
$46.34
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
1500 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.5K
$19.25
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
1454 shares @ 86.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.5K
$192.82
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.66Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase July 21-27?$200.00Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$495.20Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$155.42Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$112.98Jul 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$11.29Jul 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$11.29Jul 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$247.02Jul 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8.58Jul 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.81Jul 28, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$58.59Jul 28, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$80.00Jul 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$11.46Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.00Jul 28, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$96.99Jul 28, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$150.00Jul 28, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.83Jul 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$100.00Jul 28, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$307.31Jul 28, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $168.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.