Distorted-Parchment
0xd5ebfe194c6ee9d01fa42d0ce7e5259378b351a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$40.91
Total PnL
$-1.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
22 shares @ 53.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.92
$10.16
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.43
$-0.05
- NO
Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
3 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.72
$0.13
- NO
Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
2 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.34
$0.10
- NO
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.30
$0.07
- NO
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.63
$0.18
- NO
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
2 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.54
$0.12
- NO
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.52
$0.07
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-3.81
- NO
Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.14
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.42Mar 4, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.45Mar 4, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.45Mar 4, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$1.34Mar 4, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.48Mar 4, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.48Mar 4, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$2.03Mar 4, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$2.23Mar 4, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.20Mar 4, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$2.24Mar 4, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$27.40Mar 4, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.20Mar 1, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.11Mar 1, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$1.11Mar 1, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.11Mar 1, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$1.15Mar 1, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$1.15Mar 1, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$1.21Mar 1, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$1.25Mar 1, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.76Mar 1, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.