Whole-Waiver
0xd60f7bf5640242fea2183007c5379c73a6bcbb71
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$36.46
Total PnL
$-78.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$10.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$10.23Jun 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$10.21Jun 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$10.25Jun 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.00Jun 18, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$38.46Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$34.48Jun 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$10.25Jun 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$10.21Jun 17, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$31.25Jun 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.29Jun 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$10.23Jun 17, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$10.22Jun 17, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$10.21Jun 17, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.35Jun 17, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.35Jun 17, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.35Jun 17, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Jun 16, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$45.45Jun 16, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$10.23Jun 16, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$45.45Jun 16, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $9.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.