Tired-Dioxide
0xd621a40217b0a3ca51c28860044e858a7297db65
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$992.90
Total PnL
$-54.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
181 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.62
$13.62
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.85
$53.85
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.35
$13.35
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
106 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$106.04
$6.04
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
568 shares @ 17.6¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$85.51
$-14.49
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
254 shares @ 39.4¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$84.55
$-15.45
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
61 shares @ 82.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.70
$7.70
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.47
$7.47
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
54 shares @ 92.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.52
$3.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.67
$1.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.