Ambitious-Accident
0xd6289d12736536235cf0793f273692c066f39356
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$522.55
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$204.71
Win rate
50%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
419 shares @ 68.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$343.58
$55.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?
98 shares @ 54.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$64.68
$10.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?
61 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$35.27
$-3.04
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
68 shares @ 59.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$30.17
$-9.83
- YES
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
59 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$25.07
$-0.29
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
78 shares @ 14.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.79
$1.59
- YES
Will USD reach 19,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?
87 shares @ 19.4¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.19
$-11.62
- YES
Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$2.16
- YES
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
16 shares @ 26.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.79
$-1.36
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?
11698 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$40.49Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?$39.02Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?$0.52Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?$18.06Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?$0.89Jun 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$11.13Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?$22.50Jun 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?$6.27Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?$8.20Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?$42.10Jun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?$16.79Jun 12, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?$64.06Jun 12, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?$18.11Jun 12, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 13?$7.10Jun 12, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?$9.57Jun 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?$13.75Jun 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12?$53.98Jun 11, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?$0.21Jun 11, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?$6.66Jun 11, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?$48.95Jun 11, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.