Mild-Prize
0xd6629d7d90f6228f48585230f60f69c04e7648fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-93.51
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
8200 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-904.41
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2257 shares @ 20.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$394.89
$-59.26
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2002 shares @ 14.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$350.28
$54.44
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
5359 shares @ 13.4¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.11
$-415.42
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
1393 shares @ 24.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$257.67
$-88.75
- YES
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
3960 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$180.19
$26.45
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
2333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
1526 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
1040 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.63
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
988 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-299.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$87.71Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency? $87.21Jun 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$124.49Jun 8, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$123.31Jun 8, 20:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$266.63Jun 5, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$266.58Jun 5, 09:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$299.46Jun 4, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$203.51Jun 4, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$95.85Jun 4, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$290.84Jun 4, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$262.31Jun 4, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $173.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.