Dreary-Brownie
0xd680c58e687ea95e2e28519066ab0762154f2251
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$876.50
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-2.79
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
647 shares @ 85.1¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$324.63
$-226.63
- YES
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
1128 shares @ 56.5¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$248.09
$-388.50
- YES
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
293 shares @ 51.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$130.32
$-19.68
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
122 shares @ 49.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
206 shares @ 6.3¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$55.61
$42.61
- YES
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 27.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$36.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?
22 shares @ 54.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.60
$2.60
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
70 shares @ 54.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.20
$-33.60
- YES
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.63
$-13.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?$102.65Jul 16, 11:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $119.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.