Remote-Crystal
0xd6c2f80f5a9a959b19fb8ca845ab8f404c0de015
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
110
Open notional
$3.62
Total PnL
$-334.40
Realised
$-15.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
99 shares @ 8.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.62
$-4.38
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
3645 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.29
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
2491 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.19
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
2404 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
1143 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?
623 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.60 December 29-January 4?
610 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
583 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$4.90May 17, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.26May 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.04May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.08May 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.80May 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.40May 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$52.05Mar 29, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.00Mar 17, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.20 in March?$1.00Mar 16, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.