Cheerful-Riverbed
0xd6cafcd0bad1129571a689084a2a84268d2fc1d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-53.96
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SILVA DE ANDRADE
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)
532 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?
275 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MULLARKEY
UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
161 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
157 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
156 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-18.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$16.21May 10, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$37.74May 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$20.28May 10, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$20.57May 9, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$15.43Apr 19, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)$5.00Apr 19, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)$7.30Apr 19, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)$10.00Apr 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$10.00Apr 18, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$15.43Apr 12, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)$17.67Apr 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.00Apr 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)$5.00Apr 11, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)$5.00Apr 11, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.00Apr 6, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$25.00Mar 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$25.91Mar 29, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$15.00Mar 29, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.