Wallet digest

Activity score

58/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$191.37

Total PnL

$-88.54

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 69

NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
13 shares @ 78.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$12.58
$2.58
NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026
$10.00
$2.00
NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
9 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026
$8.91
$0.91
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026
$8.89
$0.89
NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
9 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$8.67
$0.70
NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$8.38
$0.38
NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$5.07
$1.12
NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026
$5.00
$1.00
NO
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
5 shares @ 80.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026
$4.97
$0.97
NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$4.89
$0.93

Recent activity

YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$4.40Jun 1, 14:01 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk42 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 4, 20:02 UTC
Last active: Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 04:16:27 UTC·src:Polymarket Data