Full-Gearshift
0xd71a00e4cd4c7caeedaad16b1b16eae72cbd78c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$265.34
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2747 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.4K
$-64.75
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3031 shares @ 30.8¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$704.67
$-228.32
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
538 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$492.64
$-7.36
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
267 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.33
$1.33
- NO
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
217 shares @ 92.2¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$208.85
$8.84
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$143.50
$-56.50
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
129 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$122.90
$-2.11
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$111.00
$11.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$74.23
$-25.77
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$71.36
$-28.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$100.34Jun 11, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$51.58Jun 11, 18:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$3.78Jun 10, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$198.32Jun 10, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$270.90Jun 10, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$226.00Jun 9, 23:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$51.47Jun 5, 21:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$130.79Jun 4, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$240.00Jun 4, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$501.40Jun 4, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $199.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.