Which-Station
0xd73278549be4f1c998bc0c1e9a5b26d3ce554c18
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.38
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Raymond Petersen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.22
$-0.00
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?$1.00Jul 1, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.01Jul 1, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?$2.03Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.00Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?$1.00Jun 30, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.20Jun 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.00Jun 29, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jun 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.20Jun 25, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 24?$2.01Jun 24, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$2.00Jun 22, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$2.00Jun 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 24?$2.00Jun 20, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.50Jun 19, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$1.00Jun 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.04Jun 15, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.50Jun 11, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.50Jun 2, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.